IDC claims that the second half of the world's PC markets will be at a volatile stage: there's no "quick-impact drugs" in the short term.

IT House News, 4 June, IDC (International Data Corporation) 2 reports that the global PC market will be in turmoil in the second half of 2026 and that there is no quick fix in the short term. IDC currently projects a decline of 11.3 per cent in global PC deliveries in 2026. Over time, market pressures will continue to increase, and by the fourth quarter, global PC output is expected to decline by 20 per cent over the same period.

The IT House was informed that the core problem that has been slowing the market is the continued shortage of memory. IDC expects that the memory supply will not be significantly reduced by 2027. The impact is beginning to be felt: PC prices continue to rise and it is becoming increasingly difficult for producers to maintain a complete product line.

According to the report, the first quarter of 2026 appeared to be a good one, with a 3 per cent increase in global PC exports, but this round was marked by a clear early release. Both individual consumers and business clients are placed in advance of expected price increases and partial deployment shortfalls. The dynamism of such early procurement will continue in part into the second quarter, and the market is expected to weaken over the next few quarters, and the decline will become more pronounced.

The report states that Apple MacBook Neo is an important variable in the PC market. MacBook Neo advanced laptop demand was stronger than expected, prompting IDC to update the laptop delivery forecast. However, MacBook Neo's impact on industry is not one-way.

The IDC Consumer Equipment Tracking Research Manager, Gitesh Ubrani, said: “MacBook Neo's launch is putting real pressure on the entire PC ecosystem. We expect that manufacturers will respond through new chips, more efficient Microsoft operating systems and radical promotion pricing. The average sale price (the notebook) will increase by 17 per cent in 2026; even if there is an increase in the capacity over the next two years, prices are unlikely to return to 2025 levels.”

The report concludes that the PC market is facing both structural supply constraints, macroeconomic pressures and platform-level changes. For consumers and business buyers, the window for low-cost machines is shrinking. For PC manufacturers, the challenge is to maintain a sufficiently complete product layout under the pressure of spare parts shortages, rising costs and competition for new Apple hardware.

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