TrendForce: An estimated 34.2% penetration of the Arm architecture notebook in 2029

According to the latest research published today by TrendForce Central Consulting, the AI notebooks are now dominated by Intel, AMD.Apple.(Apple) and Qualcomm (Highcomm) are driving, but the market still lacks a product that can display large-scale AI operating value of the end of the device and produce a clear user-replacement power.

According to the report, with NvidiaIn Computex, officially published RTX Spark platform mix N1 and N1X processor, AI Notebook Market is expected to be available from now on NPU The performance-based phase moves further towards a new development centred on Agent and local modeling.

The report suggests that the RTX Spark platform is not just about new. Windows For the first time, key members of the on Arm camp extended the CUDA ecosystem to the Windows Notebook market, with an estimated rapid increase in the penetration of the AI Notebook from 19.3 per cent in 2025 to 37.5 per cent in 2026 to 84.9 per cent in 2029.

According to the AI Notebook Market Structure, currently the AI Notebook is dominated by Windows x86 platform, with penetration increasing from 6.8 per cent in 2025 to 14.5 per cent in 2026, with an estimated 50.7 per cent in 2029.

In contrast, while the Windows on Arm AI notebooks are currently low in the base period, their growth will accelerate significantly after the addition of Chase and Weidar to the camp, increasing the penetration rate from 1.2 per cent in 2025 to 3.2 per cent in 2026 and expected to increase further to 11.5 per cent in 2029.

The IT House was informed that in addition to Windows on Arm, the Apple M series is expected to maintain approximately 17 per cent of the laptop market and continue to play an important part of the Arm framework notebook. On the other hand, as Intel and AMD gradually shift their resources in recent years to the AI laptop and high-end business machine, the relatively conservative investment in the Chromebook market has also given UNDG an opportunity this year to further expand its penetration on the Chromebook platform through AI Cropebook. Guided by the Windows on Arm, Apple M and Chromebook series, it is estimated that in 2029, the Arm architecture notebooks will have 34.2 per cent penetration.

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