Prediction Markets
Live odds on global events — geopolitics, politics, crypto, economics, technology, sports, science, entertainment, and more. Data from Polymarket.
100 markets tracked•24h Volume: $40.3M•Updated: Jun 7, 2026, 9:10 AM
OUR PREDICTIONS50 forecasts from article corpus + market calibration
Will Chicago Slice finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event?
5 article signalsEnds Jun 22
Our Call
No
Confidence
48%
Market
44%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
3 article signalsEnds Dec 31
Our Call
No
Confidence
22%
Market
7%
+15pp
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 9?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 9
Our Call
No
Confidence
20%
Market
4%
+16pp
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3 article signalsEnds Jan 1
Our Call
No
Confidence
45%
Market
42%
Will Lithuania vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?
2 article signalsEnds Jun 9
Our Call
No
Confidence
22%
Market
13%
+9pp
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 9?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 9
Our Call
No
Confidence
26%
Market
14%
+13pp
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics
1 article signalsEnds Jun 17
Our Call
No
Confidence
44%
Market
49%
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens
3 article signalsEnds Jun 15
Our Call
No
Confidence
35%
Market
33%
Will Palestine win on 2026-06-09?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 9
Our Call
No
Confidence
42%
Market
34%
+8pp
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
5 article signalsEnds Apr 9
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
57%
Market
50%
+7pp
Will more than 410 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 8
Our Call
No
Confidence
16%
Market
0%
+16pp
Libema Open, Qualification: Niels Visker vs Elias Ymer
3 article signalsEnds Jun 14
Our Call
No
Confidence
35%
Market
32%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
4 article signalsEnds Mar 31
Our Call
No
Confidence
16%
Market
1%
+15pp
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
5 article signalsEnds Dec 31
Our Call
No
Confidence
17%
Market
6%
+11pp
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 7?
5 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
44%
Market
32%
+12pp
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
5 article signalsEnds Dec 31
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
83%
Market
84%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 article signalsEnds Nov 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
14%
Market
1%
+13pp
Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 10
Our Call
No
Confidence
37%
Market
26%
+11pp
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 10
Our Call
No
Confidence
37%
Market
26%
+11pp
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
4 article signalsEnds Oct 31
Our Call
No
Confidence
18%
Market
4%
+14pp
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Japan - Toss Match Double Bahrain Winner
4 article signalsEnds Jun 14
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
55%
Market
50%
+5pp
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 7?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
17%
Market
0%
+17pp
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?
5 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
50%
Market
40%
+10pp
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 7?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
17%
Market
0%
+17pp
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
5 article signalsEnds Jun 30
Our Call
No
Confidence
20%
Market
2%
+18pp
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4 article signalsEnds Oct 31
Our Call
No
Confidence
18%
Market
4%
+13pp
Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 30
Our Call
No
Confidence
18%
Market
0%
+17pp
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 17
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
51%
Market
47%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or below on June 8?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 8
Our Call
No
Confidence
17%
Market
0%
+17pp
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 24
Our Call
No
Confidence
14%
Market
0%
+14pp
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?
5 article signalsEnds Jun 30
Our Call
No
Confidence
28%
Market
18%
+11pp
Will XRP reach $1.80 June 1-7?
2 article signalsEnds Jun 8
Our Call
No
Confidence
16%
Market
0%
+16pp
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 7?
5 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
20%
Market
0%
+20pp
Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?
5 article signalsEnds Nov 3
Our Call
No
Confidence
22%
Market
5%
+17pp
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
3 article signalsEnds Dec 31
Our Call
No
Confidence
25%
Market
11%
+14pp
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?
3 article signalsEnds Jul 12
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
69%
Market
72%
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 article signalsEnds Jul 20
Our Call
No
Confidence
16%
Market
1%
+15pp
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET
4 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
52%
Market
50%
HYPE Up or Down on June 7?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
58%
Market
51%
+7pp
Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5 article signalsEnds Jul 20
Our Call
No
Confidence
17%
Market
1%
+16pp
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
5 article signalsEnds Jun 14
Our Call
No
Confidence
37%
Market
30%
+7pp
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?
3 article signalsEnds Jun 28
Our Call
No
Confidence
23%
Market
12%
+11pp
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
5 article signalsEnds Nov 3
Our Call
No
Confidence
41%
Market
28%
+13pp
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 7?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
16%
Market
0%
+16pp
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5
2 article signalsEnds Jun 14
Our Call
No
Confidence
47%
Market
50%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
5 article signalsEnds Jan 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
24%
Market
7%
+18pp
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
5 article signalsEnds Apr 16
Our Call
Yes
Confidence
57%
Market
50%
+7pp
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 7
Our Call
No
Confidence
16%
Market
0%
+16pp
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
4 article signalsEnds Oct 31
Our Call
No
Confidence
17%
Market
2%
+15pp
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
4 article signalsEnds Jun 26
Our Call
No
Confidence
48%
Market
37%
+11pp
Sports(43)
43dVol $1.8M
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.4%
No
98.7%
43dVol $1.6M
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
43dVol $1.6M
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.1%
No
98.9%
43dVol $1.6M
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.6%
No
98.5%
43dVol $1.4M
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.9%
No
98.0%
43dVol $1.3M
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.2%
No
98.8%
43dVol $1.3M
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
5.7%
No
94.3%
43dVol $1.2M
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
2.6%
No
97.4%
43dVol $1.1M
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $1.1M
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.4%
No
99.7%
43dVol $1.1M
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.4%
No
99.7%
43dVol $967K
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
43dVol $946K
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.4%
No
98.7%
43dVol $904K
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.2%
No
99.8%
43dVol $890K
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
43dVol $888K
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
43dVol $848K
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.1%
43dVol $789K
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
43dVol $779K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
9.7%
No
90.3%
43dVol $769K
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.1%
No
99.0%
43dVol $746K
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.8%
No
98.2%
43dVol $741K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
11.2%
No
88.8%
43dVol $739K
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.4%
No
99.6%
43dVol $735K
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
1.9%
No
98.0%
43dVol $734K
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.4%
No
99.6%
24dVol $731K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes
21.6%
No
78.5%
43dVol $718K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
16.2%
No
83.9%
43dVol $677K
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.2%
No
99.8%
43dVol $577K
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $485K
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
43dVol $421K
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.2%
No
99.8%
43dVol $411K
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $357K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
8.2%
No
91.8%
43dVol $335K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
8.8%
No
91.1%
43dVol $321K
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $70K
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $70K
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $54K
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $44K
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $17K
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
43dVol $9K
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
24d
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%
24d
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%
Politics(40)
884dVol $565K
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
1.1%
No
98.9%
884dVol $182K
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $133K
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.1%
884dVol $119K
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
884dVol $96K
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $73K
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $73K
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $69K
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $51K
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $42K
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $41K
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $40K
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $38K
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $37K
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $36K
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $36K
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $35K
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $33K
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $32K
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $32K
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $31K
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $31K
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $30K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $29K
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $28K
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $28K
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $28K
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $28K
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $27K
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $24K
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
884dVol $21K
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $20K
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
884dVol $19K
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
884dVol $19K
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
884dVol $14K
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
884dVol $13K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
25.1%
No
74.9%
884dVol $10K
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.1%
884dVol $4K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
1.4%
No
98.7%
884dVol $3K
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.1%
884dVol $1K
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes
0.9%
No
99.1%
Geopolitics(7)
43dVol $2.1M
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
207dVol $1.4M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
6.8%
No
93.2%
23dVol $254K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes
1.8%
No
98.2%
207dVol $116K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
15.5%
No
84.5%
884dVol $42K
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
0.8%
No
99.2%
207d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%
207d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%
Other(6)
207dVol $496K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
14.5%
No
85.5%
207dVol $21K
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
0.2%
No
99.8%
207dVol $19K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes
6.0%
No
94.0%
207dVol $16K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Yes
2.1%
No
98.0%
207dVol $3K
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
0.2%
No
99.8%
207d
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%